Melbourne
City v Adelaide United
AAMI
Park, Melbourne
Friday,
February 27
6.40
PM (AEST)
#MCYvADL
Melbourne City have won just one of their previous 10 A-League
encounters against Adelaide United, so the stats lean towards the Reds to get
the three points in this one. The market suggests a close affair, but given
Adelaide have been victors in four of their past six visits to Melbourne City,
I’m leaning towards Josep Gombau’s attacking and possession based style to get
the job done. A win could see them go to the top of the ladder, albeit
temporarily, if the Glory and Victory don’t record wins this round. City have
plenty of issues scoring goals, and this game could see them go a month without
finding the net. Aaron Mooy was the last to do so against WSW back in Round 15.
My tip: Adelaide United Marcello Carrusca a good option in ‘1st Goal
Scorer’ ($10.00) or ‘To Score a Goal’ ($3.75) markets given he has scored in
three of his last four games against City.
Newcastle
United Jets v Central Coast Mariners
Hunter
Stadium, Newcastle
Saturday,
February 28
4.00
PM (AEST)
#F3Derby
The Jets would consider themselves a little unlucky at having to
share the points last week against the Phoenix. The season has been filled with
disappointments in every aspect, and they are without a win in seven league
games. Just as desperate, the Mariners are hoping to avoid three straight
losses. The recent history between the F3 rivals favours CCM, as the Jets are
winless in seven A-League matches against them (3D & 4L). This game could
surprise, as a Derby often seems to bring with it plenty of feeling with
bragging rights up for grabs. Unfortunately, this game showcases the two worst
defensive teams in the League.
My tip: Draw
Western
Sydney Wanderers v Sydney FC
Pirtek
Stadium, Parramatta
Saturday,
February 28
6.30
PM (AEST)
#SydneyDerby
After a successful week away in Japan for their Asian Champions
League Group game, the Wanderers have a quick turn around and host cross-town
rivals Sydney FC at Wanderland. The Sky Blues have the wood on the Wanderers
after being undefeated in the past thee derbies (W2 D1). The previous four
games played in Parramatta have only seen a total of six goals scored, with
neither side finding the net more than once. This could well be another low
scoring affair, but I think the class and confidence of the Austrian scoring
machine, Marc Janko, could prove the match winner. Although keep a close eye on
Tomi Juric from WSW, as he has a good record scoring twice against Sydney FC in
the A-League.
My tip: Sydney FC H2H; but given the closeness of Derbies, it's
worth trying the ‘Over/Under 2.5 Goals’ market with the Under (2.5) ($1.82)
good value.
Perth
Glory v Brisbane Roar
nib
Stadium, Perth
Saturday,
February 28
8.30
PM (AEST)
#PERvBRI
The Brisbane Roar will be hoping to bounce back quickly after a
heartbreaking added time Asian Champions League loss on a very damp Gold Coast
pitch against Beijing Guoan. The good news for the Roar is they are chasing a
third successive away win. They have also scored in all but one of their last
six games against the Glory who have only won just one of their last six
clashes with Brisbane. Andy Keogh has been kept quiet on the score sheet of
late for the Glory, surprisingly going three games without finding the net. He
did however jag a hat trick when they last hosted the Roar at nib stadium back
in Round 2.
My tip: Roar H2H are fantastic value. With Perth without a win in
five matches, there’s never been a better opportunity for the Roar to record
another away win (Brisbane being the best team on the road this season). If you
want to be cautious, then the safety of the ‘Draw No Bet’ ($2.55) market is an
attractive Multi option.
Melbourne
Victory v Wellington Phoenix
AAMI
Park, Melbourne
Sunday,
March 01
4.00
PM (AEST)
#MVCvWEL
The Victory have a great chance to go to the top of the league
ladder if they can continue an impressive record of winning nine of their past
ten matches against the Phoenix. This could be a keeper's nightmare given there
have been 22 scored in the past five games between these two sides. No team is
better at home than the Melbourne Victory this season (7W 1D 1L), so Wellington
will need to bring their A game across the ditch, if they want to capture any
points at AAMI Park.
My tip: Melbourne Victory H2H; and if Archie Thompson ($3.50) gets
the chance to play in his 200th game for the club, then he would be my
sentimental favourite in the ‘To Score a Goal’ market, although he’ll need to
get in a queue behind Berisha ($1.70), Barbarouses ($2.75) and Ben Khalfallah
($2.75).
I’ll be on @RadioTABAus every Friday and Monday morning around
7:45am AEST over the course of the entire A-league season with my previews and
reviews of every game.
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